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Published on in Vol 28 (2026)

Preprints (earlier versions) of this paper are available at https://preprints.jmir.org/preprint/73364, first published .
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A Machine Learning Pipeline to Analyze Global Sentiment and Factors Influencing Retinoblastoma Treatment Hesitancy: Observational Infodemiology Study

A Machine Learning Pipeline to Analyze Global Sentiment and Factors Influencing Retinoblastoma Treatment Hesitancy: Observational Infodemiology Study

1Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Chinese University of Hong Kong, 147K Argyle Street, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

2Hong Kong Eye Hospital, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

3Department of Ophthalmology, Hong Kong Children’s Hospital, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

4Hong Kong Hub of Paediatric Excellence, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

5Department of Ophthalmology, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

6Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, Prince of Wales Hospital, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong)

*these authors contributed equally

Corresponding Author:

Jason C Yam, MD


Background: The use of social media in cancer research, patient support, and information sharing has been well documented.

Objective: Using retinoblastoma as a model, we use the information provided from Twitter (subsequently rebranded X) to understand patients’ treatment-seeking behavior and barriers, as well as investigate its application in research and epidemiology for rare diseases.

Methods: Posts on retinoblastoma were extracted from Twitter. We trained BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) models to identify relevance and conducted sentiment analysis. The hierarchical Dirichlet process was trained to identify topics with BERTopic used as a sensitivity analysis. We enriched user profiles with OpenStreetMap-based geotagging and CoreNLP-based occupation tagging. Retinoblastoma outcomes were obtained from a systematic review and meta-analysis, which covered articles published between January 1, 1981, and October 8, 2021.

Results: The dataset covered 2,382,511 posts from 797,870 Twitter users. Most of the information dissemination and discussion originated from North America and Western Europe. A lack of disease understanding and the need for more support and counseling remained the most significant barriers to receiving treatment worldwide, as reflected by both the intensity and number of posts. The number of new posts per year related to treatment barriers and enucleation hesitancy showed exponential growth after 2016 (βlog-linear=0.957, P=.002). For the perceived barriers to treatment, sentiment was the strongest over time for worries over treatment failure (βlinear=−0.003, P=.79, estimate2022=0.679). Posts with higher negative sentiment intensity related to enucleation were concentrated in Central and Southern America, Asia, and Africa. Stronger negative sentiment toward enucleation (β=−0.726, 95% CI −1.224 to −0.228) was associated with worse overall survival outcomes. The association between lower overall survival rates and enucleation hesitancy was observed in Asia (β=−1.518, 95% CI −2.602 to −0.434) and Africa (β=−0.812, 95% CI −1.412 to −0.021) in the subgroup analysis. The active participation of clinical staff (β=−0.105, 95% CI −0.186 to −0.024; P=.01) and academia (β=−0.116, 95% CI −0.208 to −0.024; P=.01) on retinoblastoma topics on Twitter correlated with lower enucleation hesitancy.

Conclusions: Computational social media analysis can generate actionable insights for public health interventions for retinoblastoma. Negative sentiment toward enucleation is associated with poorer survival. The active participation of clinical staff and academia on Twitter is correlated with lower enucleation hesitancy. However, they remain underrepresented in social media discussions, suggesting a significant opportunity for greater engagement from stakeholders and targeted information dissemination to improve acceptance and outcomes in vulnerable zones.

J Med Internet Res 2026;28:e73364

doi:10.2196/73364

Keywords



Retinoblastoma is the most common intraocular childhood cancer, but treatment outcomes can be good especially with early management [1]. Although enucleation results in total vision loss and cosmetic concerns [2], it remains life-saving for patients at stage E under the Intraocular Classification of Retinoblastoma scheme [3,4]. With advancements in treatment techniques, especially globe salvage (GS) treatments, the overall survival (OS) and GS rates have increased over the past 4 decades globally [5,6]. Unfortunately, significant disparities persist between higher-income and lower-income countries, with some regions having significant survival gaps [7]. While access to health care services, late disease detection, and poor health care system performance has been recognized as critical barriers to improving survival rates [8,9], social and cultural factors can weaken disease understanding and acceptance of treatment options, resulting in late disease presentation and high default rates in certain regions [7,10-12]. A comprehensive understanding of the underlying barriers is necessary for targeted education and improvement in these regions [13-15].

Social media offers a significant bidirectional impact on public health care understanding [16]. On the one hand, it effectively drives public discourse and sentiments concerning health care interventions and modeling social beliefs. Posts on treatment access construct the perceived treatment barrier, and educational posts on disease management and progression without treatment shed light on perceived severity. By emphasizing the early signs and promoting early diagnosis, the prevention of global and life-threatening complications through early diagnosis underlies perceived benefits. Social media may influence health decisions as per the health belief model [17-21]. On the other hand, it provides a proxy for clinicians and researchers to systematically understand the health-seeking behavior and beliefs of patients [19,22-24]. Public sentiments may alter patients’ choices, and it would be strategic to use social media to disseminate accurate information that enhances health care outcomes [25-27]. Following the diffusion of innovation theory, key components of effective communications are determined by innovation, communication channels, time, and social systems. By forming highly connected, real-time focused networks around retinoblastoma and general pediatric eye care, social media usage entails both significant benefits and potential threats to the spread of legitimate medical information [28]. While this impact has been intensively studied in relation to COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and misinformation, it is also relevant in noncommunicable diseases, including malignancies [16-21,23,24,26,27]. Existing applications of social media for oncology include patient support and patient-driven research. For example, patients with lung cancer have been using platforms such as Twitter (subsequently rebranded X) to offer and receive social and psychological support [18]. Twitter has also been used to evaluate patients’ adherence to treatment and recovery from urological diseases and prostate cancer [19]. The extensive use of social media has also been described for pediatric cancer and rare diseases, extending from emotional expression by survivors, information seeking by parents, and key information dissemination to the public. A summary of recent work focusing on the pediatric population has been provided in Table S1 in Multimedia Appendix 1.

To improve global awareness and acceptance of retinoblastoma treatment, it is essential to resolve underlying concerns and beliefs that hinder the understanding of retinoblastoma and its treatments. Perceived barriers to retinoblastoma treatment, such as cultural differences and gender inequality, are not well studied worldwide. We conducted this study to evaluate the use of social media’s power in characterizing global differences in retinoblastoma disease perception and to assess the impact on treatment choices and, subsequently, survival outcomes [29].


Search Strategy and Data Acquisition

We acquired data on discussions of retinoblastoma from Twitter. We accessed Twitter through its official API services [30]. We retrieved posts and subsequent discussions between January 1, 2011, and September 30, 2022. We searched for discussions relevant to retinoblastoma and imposed no limitations on language and origin. The search was conducted using the terms “retinoblastoma,” “enucleation,” or “eye cancer” and adapted to the search format for individual platforms. The search was conducted in the 6 official UN languages—Arabic, Chinese, English, French, Russian, and Spanish.

Data Preprocessing and Filtering

We employed the DeepL translator service to translate the texts into English from their original language [31]. Manual validation was performed with 1000 sampled non-English posts to ensure accurate translation. The translation performance of the DeepL translator was further supported by a previous benchmarking study, demonstrating outstanding accuracy and outperforming other existing solutions [32]. We excluded irrelevant records, for example, those related to nonretinoblastoma eye malignancies and enucleation for nonretinoblastoma causes, using deep learning models. We fine-tuned a BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) model to filter texts from Twitter. The training (n=4000) and validation datasets (n=1000) were randomly sampled from the entire dataset and interpreted by ESW and RWC. Texts were labeled as relevant or irrelevant, and discrepancies were resolved by consensus. We fine-tuned the base BERT model on English texts using 10-fold cross-validation and validated on the holdout set [33,34].

Topic Modeling

We performed topic modeling on the resultant relevant records stratified by platforms. Texts were cleaned by removing hyperlinks, hashtags, and user mentions and were further stemmed and lemmatized. Using the automated hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP), we generated keywords that explained the topic distribution, which were sampled automatically from the input text word distribution [35]. Sensitivity analysis was performed using BERTopic, an embedding-based method. BERTopic uses embedding models to capture the semantic relationship for posts. Compared to HDP, it might be more resilient to short text with noise but requires higher computational power. On the contrary, HDP adopts a probabilistic Bayesian nonparametric approach. Apart from requiring less computational power, an essential strength of HDP is its ability to automatically infer the number of topics from a given dataset without prior assumptions. Hence, we compared the output from both models in this study.

Topics identified from both models were fused under several criteria. These included (1) topic keywords overlap, (2) semantic coherence and thematic redundancy, and (3) hierarchical proximity in the HDP model. For each topic, we computed the Jaccard similarity coefficient between the top 15 words for each topic pair, and those with a similarity score above 0.3 were highlighted for a manual review. In addition, topics with conceptual similarity were also reviewed manually, even if the similarity score was lower than the threshold, as semantic similarity may not be fully represented by token frequency similarity. Topic fusion was conducted independently by 2 authors and reviewed by a third author in case of discrepancies.

Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis

Similar to filtering posts, we fine-tuned a BERT model to classify posts into positive, neutral, and negative categories based on users’ acceptance of disease management. For example, posts representing the acceptance of treatment modalities while expressing sorrow for a diagnosis were labeled as positive [36]. The prediction probability was used to reflect the strength of emotions, that is, how strongly the post belonged to the respective category. We implemented 10-fold cross-validation and tested combinations of learning rate, batch size, and epoch. We calculated the strength of negative sentiment toward different treatment modalities for further analysis.

We fine-tuned a BERT model to classify posts by patient roles, that is, whether the post is posted by patients and their direct relatives or by general users. Similar to the above training approach, we labeled 1000 posts and fine-tuned the base BERT model using 10-fold cross-validation.

Data Enrichment and Global Comparison

As only Twitter provided the detailed data on time, conversation details, and geolocation with a broad global user base among the platforms, we performed subsequent global comparisons using Twitter data only.

A fraction of posts was initially geotagged, that is, provided with the country or region of origin. We extracted their likely location for the other posts using the author’s user profile, with geotagging [37] and subsequent geocoding with the OpenStreetMap API [38]. The current approach has been validated by prior studies, showing high accuracy and reliable spatial granularity [39,40].

Users’ occupations were analyzed using their user profiles through the named entity recognition technique. Descriptions were processed using the default Stanford CoreNLP (version 4.5.1) model [41]. We manually labeled 2000 profiles to benchmark the extraction algorithm’s accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. Subsequently, we manually processed the identified titles and aggregated them into different sectors, including clinical medicine, education and academia, media outlets and creative media, religion, politics, and public administration, and mapped them back to individual users.

Network Analysis

Network analysis was conducted using Gephi [42]. After identifying isolated communities and nodes, we removed them to focus on the largest connected component of the network to investigate the functional component of the online discussion. In addition, this avoids complicating the calculation of path distance as disconnected nodes represent infinite path distance. We calculated network density, centrality measures—including eigenvector centrality—modularity, average path length, and other network properties for the discussion network and performed community detection. Eigenvector centrality in particular measures how influential a user is to the social network by accounting for both the number of connections and the number of important nodes that one is connected to. Therefore, we used eigenvector centrality to select those with high centrality scores for subsequent analysis [43].

Clinical Data for Retinoblastoma

We acquired the OS rate and GS rate for retinoblastoma from our group’s previous systematic review and meta-analysis. This study analyzed clinical outcomes by country or region from 2010 to 2021 [7].

Statistical Analysis

Variables used for global comparisons were first aggregated to the country level by taking averages. These included sentiment strength for different topics and clinical outcomes including OS and GS. We computed associations between the sentiment distribution and clinical outcomes (ie, OS and GS) using multivariable linear regression, adjusting for the Human Development Index, a statistical composite index covering socioeconomic development, health infrastructure and outcomes, and standard of living. The subgroup analysis was conducted by repeating multivariable linear regression with data for each region. Similarly, the associations between the participation rate of various professions on social media and the resultant discussion sentiments and intensity were also analyzed using multivariable linear regression. Linear model assumptions, including normality, homoscedasticity, independence, and linearity, were tested using the Shapiro-Wilk test, Breusch-Pagan test, Durbin-Watson test, and Rainbow test, respectively. We performed multiple testing adjustments with sequential Bonferroni correction in R (Bell Laboratories) to the reported statistics with a balanced focus on reducing the false discovery rate and preserving statistical power. The analysis was conducted in Python 3.9.0 and R 4.2.2 for the complete study. The complete data flow, detailed choice of models, and configurations from the above steps are shown in Figure S1 in Multimedia Appendix 2.

Ethical Considerations

This study was approved by the Joint Chinese University of Hong Kong–New Territories East Cluster Clinical Research Ethics Committee (reference number 2025.559). This study involved only the secondary analysis of publicly available social media data, with no attempt to reidentify individuals. The extracted data were obtained via Twitter Academic API with official approval and stored in encrypted storage. Only aggregated data were reported.


After preprocessing, the dataset covered 2,382,511 posts from 797,870 Twitter users. Geotagging was successfully performed for 130,940 (16.4%) users. Per-fold cross-validation statistics are included in Table S2A and S2B in Multimedia Appendix 1. The BERT model for relevance classification achieved an accuracy, F1-score, and area under the curve (AUC) of 96.00% (95% CI 95.13‐96.87), 96.42% (95% CI 95.65‐97.19), and 96.22% (95% CI 94.25‐98.19), respectively (Table S2C in Multimedia Appendix 1). The high AUC score indicated high predictive power for the models to determine the correct outcome class. The entity extraction pipeline for recognizing user occupation descriptions from their profiles achieved an accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC score of 0.975, 0.967, 0.976, and 0.972, respectively, on the annotated test set. Extracted occupation tags were then grouped and annotated manually.

Globally, most retinoblastoma-related posts originated from North America and Europe, followed by South America, Australia, and India. Posts were scarce in Africa and were mainly concentrated in South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya. The origins of posts are visualized in Figure S2 in Multimedia Appendix 2.

Topic modeling with HDP consistently identified contents from four major topics: (1) retinoblastoma awareness campaigns, (2) patient support, (3) presentation and diagnosis of retinoblastoma, and (4) treatment for retinoblastoma (Table S3 in Multimedia Appendix 1, Figure S3 in Multimedia Appendix 2). Topic modeling with BERTopic identified similar topic categories with a different set of keywords (Table S4 in Multimedia Appendix 1 and Figure S4 in Multimedia Appendix 2). About one-third of posts from Twitter focused on raising awareness for retinoblastoma, followed by retinoblastoma treatment (Figure S3 in Multimedia Appendix 2).

The sentiment classification model achieved an AUC, F1-score, and accuracy of 0.861 (95% CI 0.844‐0.879), 0.708 (95% CI 0.677‐0.738), and 0.714 (95% CI 0.685‐0.742), respectively (Table S5 in Multimedia Appendix 1). For patient support, the strongest net negative sentiment was observed in Eastern Europe (−0.639) and Northern Africa (−0.458; Figure 1A). On the other hand, positive sentiment related to treatment was more prevalent in North America (+0.447), Europe (+0.186 to+0.296), Australia, and New Zealand (+0.398; Figure 1B), whereas negative sentiment toward treatment was more prevalent in Central (−0.095) and Southern America (−0.130), Southern (−0.284), and Western (−0.376) Asia (Figure 1B).

On multivariable linear regression with multiple testing adjustment, stronger negative sentiment toward enucleation was associated with worse OS outcomes (β=−0.726, 95% CI −1.224 to −0.228; P<.003; Table 1). Such an association was not observed for sentiment toward chemotherapy (β=−0.138, 95% CI −0.469 to 0.193; P=.67; Table 1). The association between survival rate and enucleation hesitancy was observed for Asia (β=−1.518, 95% CI −2.602 to −0.434; P=.007) and Africa (β=−0.812, 95% CI −1.412‐-0.021; P=.04) in the subgroup analysis (Table S6A in Multimedia Appendix 1). Tests on linear model assumptions were statistically insignificant, showing adherence to linear model assumptions (Table S6B in Multimedia Appendix 1).

Figure 1. Twitter (subsequently rebranded “X”) post sentiment by location and topic only Twitter content was used for global sentiment comparison. (A) The global sentiment on patient support (such as patient group content, government funding, and insurances) and (B) treatment (such as modalities of treatment and the treatment outcomes). Sentiment analysis classified posts into positive (blue), neutral (cream white), and negative (red). The donut plots summarize the relative distribution of posts for each major region/continent, while the choropleth provides a more fine-grained visualization of the net sentiment by subregions.
Table 1. Association between negative post sentiment toward treatment and clinical outcomes (n=46)a.
Clinical outcome and treatmentβ (95% CI, adjusted)Adjusted P valueAdjusted R2
Overall survival
Chemotherapy−0.138 (−0.469 to 0.193).670.489
Enucleation−0.726 (−1.224 to −0.228).0030.599
Globe salvage
Chemotherapy−0.283 (−0.735 to 0.168).300.317
Enucleation−0.362 (−1.102 to 0.378).520.316

aLinear regression was performed for the association between the strength of negative sentiment toward chemotherapy and enucleation and adverse clinical outcomes, such as poorer overall survival and lower globe salvage rate. Stronger negative sentiment toward enucleation (but not chemotherapy) was associated with worse overall survival outcomes. β=−0.726 (−1.224 to −0.228), P=.003.

We further investigated the trends and patterns related to treatment barriers and enucleation hesitancy (Table S9 in Multimedia Appendix 1). Globally, the number of new posts per year related to treatment barriers and enucleation hesitancy remained steady until 2016 (βlinear=148.2, P=.59), with exponential growth thereafter across all topics of the health belief model characterized by log-linear regression due to nonlinearity (βlog-linear=0.957, P=.002; Figure 2). The growth occurred during a period of plateaued total user growth for Twitter [44]. For the perceived barriers to treatment, sentiment was strongest over treatment failure in 2022 (βlinear=−0.003, P=.79, estimate2022=0.679), with no statistically significant linear trend over years. There was only moderate interest in seeking alternative therapies such as traditional Chinese medicine or herbal medicine (βlinear=0.012, P=.02, estimate2022=0.599). There was a reduced sentiment intensity for worry about insufficient disease control (βlinear=−0.021, P<.001, estimate2022=0.669) and losing vision (βlinear=−0.090, P=.004, estimate2022=0.408), particularly after 2017. There was a lower sentiment intensity for denial of diagnosis after 2015 (estimate2014=0.906, estimate2022=0.530). Looking into the geographical distribution by topic, posts with higher negative sentiment intensity related to enucleation were concentrated in Central and Southern America, Asia, and Africa. The need for treatment support after diagnosis remained the most significant barrier in these regions, as reflected by both intensity and number of posts. This is followed by parents being overwhelmed by diagnosis and gender inequality (Figure 2). There were concerns over gender inequality for girls, but a declining sentiment intensity relating to gender was observed. There was an increasing sentiment trend for peer pressure and bullying (βlinear=0.043, P=.006, estimate2022=0.783) and a persistent need for treatment support (βlinear=−0.002, P=.34) from 2011 to 2022. An increasing trend of sentiment intensity for lack of government support was particularly seen since 2019 (βlinear=0.114, P=.04, estimate2022=0.716), overlapping with the COVID-19 pandemic.

We also examined the association between the authors’ backgrounds and the intensity of negative sentiment in subsequent treatment-related discussions. General users accounted for the majority of users (83.87%) on the global network. Media outlets and creative media creators, politicians, and religious services accounted for 11.18%, 1.17%, and 0.12% of users, respectively. There was a relatively low representation of clinical medicine practitioners and educators or academia who accounted for only 1.80% and 1.86% of users, respectively. However, our analysis showed that posts from users with a background in clinical medicine (β=−0.105, P=.01) and education and academia (β=−0.116, P=.01) were associated with a lower intensity of negative sentiments in subsequent discussions (Table 2). Posts from media outlets and creative media creators were significantly associated with higher interaction quantity (eg, replies, reposts, and quotes) compared to the users with a medical background for treatment-related posts on Twitter (β=8.268, P=.004; Table 2). Although impactful, medical practitioners and educators were less effective in creating passive responses than media outlets and politicians. However, they were much more effective in creating active responses, particularly in the range of 10 to 1000 responses (Figure S5 in Multimedia Appendix 2). The geographical distribution of the global network for the top 10,000 users with specific occupations, based on eigenvector centrality, is presented in Figure S6 in Multimedia Appendix 2.

Figure 2. Topic distribution and trends of sentiment intensity related to treatment hesitancy. We extracted posts with negative sentiment for enucleation and performed topic modeling with the hierarchical Dirichlet process. We grouped the reasons into 12 topics under 4 major domains of the health belief model. The full range of identified reasons is included in Table S3 in Multimedia Appendix 1. (A) The time trend in the intensity of negative sentiment for each topic. (B) The number of posts per year in each domain over the past decade. The y-axis is in logarithmic for better visualization. (C) The bubble plot demonstrates the distribution of both relative topic frequency (size of bubble) and sentiment (color) for each topic in different locations. Overall, the need for support for treatment (eg, requesting financial support) is the most popular topic across different regions.
Table 2. Association between the occupation of authors and information disseminationa.
User typesNegative sentiment for treatment in subsequent discussionsInteraction quantity
β (95% CI)P valueβ (95% CI)P value
Clinical medicine−.105 (−0.186 to −0.024).01−.792 (−7.865 to 6.282).83
Education and academia−.116 (−0.208 to −0. 024).01−.528 (−8.064 to 7.007).89
Media outlet and creative media−.029 (−0.081 to 0.023).278.268 (2.650 to 13.887).004
Politics and public administration−.016 (−0.107 to 0.075).73.852 (−6.626 to 8.330).82
Religion.101 (−0.029 to 0.232).13−1.447 (−13.564 to 10.670).82

aWe investigated the associations between the occupation of the author and (1) the intensity of negative sentiment for treatment and (2) the frequency of subsequent interactions in discussions using linear regression. Posts from users with a background in clinical medicine (β=−0.105, P=.01) and education and academia (β=−0.116, P=.01) were associated with a lower intensity of negative sentiments in subsequent discussions. Posts from media outlets and creative media were associated with a higher quantity of interaction (β=8.268, P=.004).

We further compared the sentiment related to retinoblastoma expressed by patient relatives and general users on social media. The classifier model for differentiating (1) patients and relatives and (2) other users achieved an AUC score of 0.813 (95% CI 0.793‐0.834; Table S7 in Multimedia Appendix 1). Statistically significant differences were observed across all domains after multiple testing adjustments, with the greatest differences noted in posts related to patient support (patient=−0.148, others=0.310, P<.001) and treatment (patient=−0.197, others=0.242, P<.001; Table S8 in Multimedia Appendix 1). The analysis suggests that targeted communication strategies may be beneficial for addressing the needs of these distinct groups.

Finally, for network analysis, multiple isolated communities were detected (n=22,875). After removing disconnected nodes and isolated communities, the analysis was performed for the remaining 796,546 nodes, revealing a very low directed density measure (estimate=3.27E-6), with average in-degree and out-degree both at 2.810, showing limited information exchange. Louvain modularity was estimated at 0.915, demonstrating a strong community structure. No significant quantity of bottleneck nodes was detected (ie, <10% of all users). The overall path length was measured at 3.99, which indicated a fragmented online community around retinoblastoma, underscoring the need for targeted outreach strategies to enhance information exchange and foster connections among isolated groups.


Principal Results

To our knowledge, this is the first study to characterize the role of social media in global discussions of retinoblastoma. Our study provides a comprehensive picture of the real-world application of social media for public education and support of retinoblastoma, with discussions ranging from the promotion of retinoblastoma awareness campaigns to specific discussions on treatment and patient support groups. Being a rare disease, the wide base of direct user data provided by a global social media network like Twitter enables the exploration of subjective factors such as cultural perspectives, social viewpoints, the practice of alternative medicine, gender bias, etc, on retinoblastoma treatment acceptance and outcomes at a population-based level. This study extends the message from earlier publications on the impact of social media on pediatric cancer and rare diseases and further substantiates the context for its use in retinoblastoma. Building on the published approaches from previous social media studies, we provided an integrated pipeline for the systematic and structural analysis of social media platforms that can be readily used for various conditions [40,45-49]. Our study examined the association between discussion dynamics and the real-world clinical outcomes of retinoblastoma. Locations with generally negative sentiment toward retinoblastoma in parts of Asia and Africa correlated with zones of inferior survival rates, as identified in our earlier meta-analysis [7]. Negative sentiment and lack of education toward disease diagnosis and treatment contributed to delayed diagnosis and predisposed patients to the advanced clinical stage of retinoblastoma at presentation, often leading to limited treatment options and resulting in unsatisfactory GS and OS rates in these regions [5,6,9,11]. Other important factors such as health care accessibility also contributed to clinical outcomes across the world. The vast amount of user-generated content also allowed us to probe into the perceived barriers behind this negativity, which potentially resulted in delayed presentation or impeded discussions and understanding of retinoblastoma. While negative post sentiment does not directly cause poor clinical outcomes, it served as a proxy for understanding the underlying predisposing factors that inevitably aggravated the challenges to survival and surgical success.

We observed an association between a stronger negative sentiment toward enucleation and a lower OS rate for retinoblastoma patients worldwide. A large proportion of posts focused on the cost of treatment and rehabilitation related to vision loss. This concern was especially profound in resource-limited localities but also notably impacted resource-rich locations such as Western countries. Enucleation remains an important treatment modality for advanced retinoblastoma, with delayed treatment leading to metastasis and mortality. Alongside other clinical and socioeconomic factors that affect retinoblastoma outcomes, increased enucleation hesitancy may hence partly contribute to worse survival rates. While for the general population there might be well-established health care infrastructure to cover most patients’ needs, there were still unmet individual needs for patients, particularly for enucleation, which are associated with long-term visual impairment, socket complications, and required continual specialist support [50]. Various stakeholders, including governments and nongovernmental organizations, have been working rigorously to reinforce safety nets for retinoblastoma patients [51-53]. However, the current observation on Twitter may underpin a need to match patients with such resources to enhance use and alleviate patients’ burdens. The rising trend of the lack of patient support after diagnosis observed post-2019 overlaps with the COVID-19 pandemic, with frequent closures of treatment centers and delays in follow-up appointments. This might have affected the management of retinoblastoma patients. In the post–COVID-19 era, reversing such trends and perceptions would be paramount [54-56]. In a study in India, COVID-19–related full territory lockdowns were related to delayed and interrupted treatments, temporary or even permanent defaults on follow-ups, and mortality. Specifically, 60% of active cases prior to lockdown were shown to have worsened; 12 (5%) eyes were enucleated due to poor response to restarted treatment post default [54]. In a separate systematic review, care delivery was found to be particularly disrupted in lower- to middle-income countries compared to higher-income ones. Staff shortages, interrupted supply chains, and restricted accessibility to treatment facilities were among the most worrying situations [57]. Both online and offline interventions should hence be attempted to maximize the reach of such messages.

Other reasons for enucleation hesitancy, including the unpreparedness of parents and lack of disease understanding, should also be addressed in systemic and multilevel ways. Such causes may be due to inadequate counseling by health care workers upon diagnosis, denial of diagnosis, and sex stereotyping and discrimination against girls. Parent education is of paramount importance in retinoblastoma as parents are usually the ones who provide consent for treatment options. Clinical studies have shown the propensity for parents to develop anxiety and depression when their child is diagnosed with retinoblastoma, and support for their psychosocial needs is necessary for the best benefit of the patient [58]. On the other hand, parents should also be educated on the presentation, screening, and testing for retinoblastoma [59]. Greater knowledge of the disease has been associated with earlier diagnosis. On the contrary, parental shopping for alternative medical advice may result in disease progression and delay in diagnosis and treatment [60]. Gender stereotypes and sex bias, despite not being the main reason for treatment delays, still contribute to the constellation of concerns that aggravated enucleation hesitancy. Our prior study noted that sex ratios of retinoblastoma cases were significantly higher in some parts of Asia and Africa, despite no sex predilection for retinoblastoma. (1.30 vs 1.14, P=.04). Differences in gender health and mortality in South Asian countries have been identified previously, with inequality in access to care noted as a plausible explanation [10,61-63]. Discrimination and neglect of females for treatment due to sex-based referral bias have been reported in Nepal, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and China [10,64-69]. Our user-generated contents from Twitter show persistent yet declining intensity in sentiment related to sex inequality for girls over the years. Our data also demonstrated geospatial trends in the pattern of enucleation hesitancy, which allow for multilevel targeted health care interventions by trained personnel to improve acceptance in vulnerable zones and outcomes. Matching patient needs with existing resources can optimize resource usage and facilitate improvements in retinoblastoma outcomes on both regional and global scales.

Social media also proves to be an essential platform for health care workers to disseminate accurate information. In an editorial titled “Oncologists in social media—what are the limits?” from The Lancet Oncology, it was highlighted that despite their importance and effectiveness in information dissemination, social media sites may facilitate the dissemination of misinformation and pose a mental health burden. It is essential for health care professionals to use these sites effectively to benefit daily clinical practice [70]. A significant rise in the number of posts toward treatment hesitancy was observed in 2016. This corresponds to a major new development and renewed interest in GS therapies, including intra-arterial chemotherapy and intravitreal chemotherapy, the introduction of which greatly improved GS and OS rates, especially in developed countries. Unfortunately, our study showed that only a very small fraction of online information currently originates from health care workers. The interaction quantity of posts by health care workers is overshadowed by those from media or political outlets. Not only has this limited the potential benefits for resolving treatment hesitancy and introducing newer technology that could improve treatment outcomes, but it has also allowed the circulation of alternative information with variable levels of accuracy and reliability. Increased participation by local health care agencies, particularly in regions with higher treatment hesitancy, would be beneficial in generating locally appealing contents for treatment and disease acceptance. The reach can be further improved with cooperation and assistance from media outlets, creative media creators, government agencies, and nongovernmental organizations. Of note is that health advocacy on social media sites may lead to the establishment of doctor-patient relationships and carry duty-of-care concerns. We suggest that rather than providing consultation and advice on a case-by-case basis on social media platforms, agencies, whether government or nongovernment, should standardize critical information based on proven facts or the latest research about the disease that can be conveniently accessible to medical and patient support groups. The goals would be to establish factful discussions online and promote awareness of retinoblastoma. Training sessions could be provided to interested health care professionals to improve content delivery and communication strategies specific to social media platforms and techniques for mitigating misinformation as well as tackling legal and ethical concerns. Public health agencies shall also increase coverage and research in social media spaces and provide timely action if misinformation arises while maintaining high levels of disease awareness and health literacy. With the low latency and cross-border nature of social media sites, verified and translated content can be developed to target vulnerable regions identified via research, together with surveys for pinpointing patients in need. This would be particularly important for localities with fragmented health care systems and limited resources. Alongside existing international collaborations, this could provide a high-level intervention to improve retinoblastoma outcomes.

Limitations

There are limitations to this study. First, although we have analyzed a large volume of social media posts and correlated them with global data from a large cohort, the ecological study approach restricted the interpretation of results to the population level. It is important to note that the identified relationships represent associations and should not be interpreted as direct causative effects. Second, due to privacy and ethical concerns, we were not able to individually verify the authenticity and background of user profiles for sentiment analysis and progression, limiting the generalizability of sentiment analysis and its correlation with underlying disease status and treatment acceptance. Third, due to local variation in the popularity of social media platforms and the lack of publicly available data for platforms such as Facebook, Weibo, and Line, we were not able to exhaust all the information online. It is essential to compare results from multiple platforms and incorporate the analysis of popular local platforms to integrate findings in this study into local practice. Moreover, this study included posts in 6 official UN languages. This might, however, introduce selection bias against populations in Asia and South America where the official languages were not covered. The results may not fully represent the general population in those locations and may be skewed toward English-speaking or Western-educated populations in these localities. Finally, the extracted data were in multiple languages, and translation was necessary for further comparative analysis. Although we used a validated translation tool for processing, there might still be potential nuances in the cultural context or linguistic subtleties lost in translation, affecting the accuracy of sentiment analysis. Future studies may collaborate with popular social media sites, following the proven importance of social media in disease management, to provide a more comprehensive analysis of health information distribution online. Validation studies may also check the accuracy of profiles and contents mentioned by users online. Moreover, a slight time discrepancy existed between the sentiment data and the clinical data. Sentiment data were collected in September 2022, with clinical outcomes collected only up to October 2021. This short mismatch was noted and may affect the reported association if clinical outcomes from October 2021 to September 2022, that is, the period without clinical outcomes report, were notably different from earlier periods. There may be a possibility of noncausal noise in the reported association accordingly. Furthermore, despite our efforts to include posts from global users and cover parts of Africa and Asia, ecological fallacies may persist. In particular, Twitter users in these regions may represent a socioeconomically distinct population, including those living in urban areas or those who are socioeconomically privileged. These users may not fully represent the general population reflected in the clinical survival data, resulting in ecological fallacy or skewed representation. Due to privacy settings and the inherent nature of social networking sites, geotagging was only successful for 16.4% of identified users. There might hence be underrepresentation or biased association estimates for certain regions. Ecological fallacy may also arise as associations were computed on country-level aggregates and may not represent associations at the individual level. For subgroup analysis, since there are a limited number of countries in each subset, the multivariable analysis with adjustment for the development index may introduce severe overfitting. The results only aimed to supplement the global association and to reflect potential regional differences with additional caution regarding the differences in the development level. The association should hence be interpreted with caution. In addition, despite the significant associations between treatment sentiment and clinical outcomes, the adjusted R-squared values range roughly between 0.316 and 0.599. The sentiment hence only partially explained the variance in clinical outcomes, and other contributing factors should not be overlooked. Despite the potential power of social media sites in providing timely global insights for disease conditions, the ethical implications should not be overlooked. Apart from user privacy, users from regions with restricted social media or political protections may be underrepresented. Policy decisions that solely rest on social media insights may hence paradoxically aggravate such inequity.

Conclusion

Social media is extensively used for retinoblastoma education and patient support, particularly in North America and Western Europe. The improved understanding of parents and patients with retinoblastoma, as reflected by positive sentiment toward the disease and its treatment, and more engagement from clinicians, was associated with better OS and reduced enucleation hesitancy. Demonstrating geospatial trends in enucleation hesitancy allows for targeted information dissemination by health care workers to improve acceptance in vulnerable regions and reduce barriers to receiving timely treatment. Matching patient needs with existing resources can optimize resource usage and facilitate improvements in retinoblastoma outcomes on a regional and global scale.

Acknowledgments

The authors state that no generative AI was used in the writing or drafting of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82425017 [JCY]), the General Research Fund (GRF), Research Grants Council, Hong Kong (14102422 [JCY]), the Health and Medical Research Fund (HMRF), Hong Kong (11220206 [JCY], 10210246 [YZ], and 09202466 [LJC]), the Strategic Impact Enhancement Fund, The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK; WW/SC/rc/SIEF2324/0366/24vw and TL/JF/rc/SIEF2223/0759/23vw [JCY]), the CUHK Jockey Club Children’s Eye Care Programme, and the CUHK Jockey Club Myopia Prevention Programme. There are no specific roles for the funding organizations or funders.

Data Availability

The co-first authors had full access to all the data in the study and took responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. The aggregated summary data will be available upon request to the correspondence author with an approved research protocol.

Authors' Contributions

ESW, RWC, and JY accessed, curated, and validated the data and conceptualized and designed the study. ESW, RWC, and YZ designed the methodology and collected the data for the study. ESW and RWC led the implementation of this study, performed formal analysis, and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. RWC provided data management. WKC, LJC, CCT, CPP, and JY provided supervision. CPP and JY acquired funding for this study. EWT, YZ, XJZ, WKC, LJC, CCT, CPP, and JY reviewed and edited the manuscript. JY was responsible for the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Conflicts of Interest

None declared.

Multimedia Appendix 1

Summary of existing work on social media and pediatric cancer and rare disease; overall cross-validation statistics for BERT model for text relevance classification, text sentiment classification, and patient role classification; topics identified by BERTopic; subgroup analysis and test for assumptions for multivariable regression model; sentiment comparison by patient role and topic; keywords identified by hierarchical Dirichlet process on general topic modeling and reasons of enucleation hesitancy.

DOCX File, 167 KB

Multimedia Appendix 2

Dataflow for analysis; global distribution of Twitter tweets; topic distribution for Twitter; BERTopic topic modeling; engagement statistics by author occupation; network plot global network of retinoblastoma information flow on Twitter.

DOCX File, 6967 KB

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AUC: area under the curve
BERT: Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers
GS: globe salvage
HDP: hierarchical Dirichlet process
OS: overall survival


Edited by Andrew Coristine; submitted 28.Mar.2025; peer-reviewed by Gilad Ravid, L Raymond Guo, Ravi Teja Potla, Vibhu Jawa; final revised version received 03.May.2026; accepted 04.May.2026; published 11.Aug.2026.

Copyright

© Emily S Wong, Richard W Choy, Esther W Tang, Yuzhou Zhang, Xiu Juan Zhang, Linbin Zhou, Wai Kit Chu, Li Jia Chen, Clement C Tham, Chi Pui Pang, Jason C Yam. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 11.Aug.2026.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (ISSN 1438-8871), is properly cited. The complete bibliographic information, a link to the original publication on https://www.jmir.org/, as well as this copyright and license information must be included.